Thursday, November 28, 2013

Is This What We'll See in Malaysia After The Recent Budget 2014 Measures?

Singapore’s Home-Price Decline Accelerates After Curbs

By Jasmine Ng - Nov 28, 2013 5:52 PM GMT+0800
Singapore’s home prices fell at a faster pace in October, dropping 1.2 percent from the previous month as evidence builds that the government’s efforts to cool the property market are working.
The city-state’s residential property index fell to 159.1 points last month after declining a revised 0.9 percent in September, according to the National University of Singapore’s Singapore Residential Price Index. The measure tracking prices in the central region decreased 1.4 percent in October.
Residential buildings stand in the Grange Road area of Singapore. Photographer: Nicky Loh/Bloomberg
The Marina Bay Residences, second left, stands next to office buildings in the central business district of Singapore. Photographer: Nicky Loh/Bloomberg
Record home prices amid low interest rates raised concerns of a housing bubble and prompted the city-state to introduce new taxes and higher minimum down payments since 2009 to curb speculation in Asia’s second-most expensive housing market. Home sales have been falling in the past four months after the government imposed new rules in June governing how financial institutions grant property loans to individuals.
“The latest statistics are a reflection of the current measures starting to bite the residential market,” said Alice Tan, head of consultancy and research at Knight Frank LLP in Singapore. “Price quantum is still the key consideration for many prospective homebuyers.”

Hong Kong

Singapore and Hong Kong, ranked by Savills Plc as the world’s most expensive housing market, have introduced measures to cool property prices. Singapore has linked borrowers’ maximum debt levels to their incomes and raised stamp duties and capital gains taxes, while Hong Kong has increased minimum down payments six times in less than three years and in February doubled stamp-duty taxes for all properties over HK$2 million ($258,000).
Li Ka-shing, Asia’s richest man, said his companies, including Cheung Kong Holdings Ltd. (1), Hong Kong’s biggest developer by market value, have slowed land purchases in the city and inChina as prices have escalated to a high level.
Singapore’s home sales fell 19 percent in October to 1,009 units from a month earlier, according to data from the Urban Redevelopment Authority released Nov. 15. From the previous year, sales dropped 48 percent, the data showed.
An index tracking real estate developers in Singapore rose 0.3 percent at the close, the first gain in eight days. CapitaLand Ltd. (CAPL)Southeast Asia’s biggest developer, rose 0.3 percent to S$3.02, the first advance in almost two weeks. City Developments Ltd. (CIT), the second largest, climbed 1.6 percent to S$10.06, the biggest increase in seven weeks.

‘Priced In’

“We believe the October decline was already priced in,” Eli Lee, an analyst at OCBC Investment Research Pte, said. “After a seven-day losing streak, the property stocks were oversold, despite a fairly muted outlook, and we are seeing some buying on value alongside buoyant markets in Asia today.”
The MSCI Asia Pacific Index gained 0.7 percent, while Singapore’s benchmark Straits Times Index climbed 0.5 percent, both advancing the most in about two weeks.
Home prices in the island-state rose at the slowest pace in six quarters in the three months ended Sept. 30, according to figures released by the authority on Oct. 25.
Prices and transaction volumes of Singapore residential properties are expected to moderate for the rest of the year due to the cumulative impact of government property measures, CapitaLand said on Oct. 31. Developers are beginning to cut prices in existing and new projects, and take lower profit margins, City Developments said on Nov. 12.
Home prices have jumped 40 percent since the island-state started introducing curbs four years ago. The gains led to Singapore being ranked the most-expensive city to buy a luxury home in Asia after Hong Kong by Knight Frank in a wealth report in March.
Singapore’s private residential property price index rose 0.4 percent to a record 216.2 points in the three months ended Sept. 30, after climbing 1 percent in the second quarter, URA data last month showed. That was the smallest gain since the first quarter of 2012, when the index dropped 0.1 percent.
To contact the reporter on this story: Jasmine Ng in Singapore at

1 comment:

francis said...

Malaysia may have a bit of different scenario.
1) our cooling measures are not as severe as sing and HK
2) The subsidy rationalization ie. fuel price increase (more will come), Steep electricity rate hike and( cement and steel price increase) full implementation of minimum salary come 1st January will increase building cost.
3) Impending GST in 2015. most of the input cost for construction will attract GST.

With all of the above forsee 2 scenario.
1) Developer launch less project but maybe with only slight price reduction interm of psf price or building even smaller units.

2) in 2 to 3 years time there will be more demand then supply again.